Brand New Modern Villa in Tumbak Bayuh

Brand New Modern Villa in Tumbak Bayuh

Bali, Bali

$177k

Price

9.3%

ROI

2

Bedrooms

48%

Occupancy

2 Bathrooms
Ownership: leasehold
Land: 196 m²
Build: 116 m²
Est. Revenue: $27k/yr
Avg Nightly Rate: $152

Investment Analysis

Welcome to our brand new modern villa nestled in the idyllic Tumbak Bayuh, a haven of tranquility just waiting to be discovered.

Kibarer
Bali / Tumbak

Brand New Modern Villa in Tumbak Bayuh

Inventory
2 Beds
Bathrooms
2 Baths
Built Area
116 m²
Land Plot
196 m²
Tenure
Lease 27yr
Yield Curve Status

Grade C+ investment — short-term rental yields 10.5% net return annually.

Go to Source via Kibarer

The Investment

Brixfox Score52
GradeC+
Brixfox Intelligence
52C+Moderate
Score Breakdown
ROI & Yield57%
Capital Growth55%
Risk Profile54%
Market Demand52%

The Brixfox Score is our proprietary AI-powered rating that evaluates rental ROI, capital appreciation potential, risk factors, and local market dynamics to give you a single investment quality metric.

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Average annual ROI over 5 years, combining both rental income and property value growth.
Total
+10.4%
Per Year (5yr avg)
Annualized projected property value change based on historical area appreciation rates (5-year average).
Capital Growth
-0.0%
-$186 in 5yr (-0%)
Estimated monthly net income after deducting management fees, operating costs, and taxes.
ROI Nett Rental Income
10.5%
$1,540/mo
Estimated time for the total investment value (equity + accumulated rent) to double.
100% Profit
10 yr
Combined
Number of years to fully recoup the initial purchase price using only net rental income.
Payback
9.6 yr
Rental only

Income Breakdown

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Nightly Rate (ADR)
$152/night
50% ($76)Brixfox estimate($152/night)200% ($304)
Occupancy
48%
10%Brixfox estimate(48%)100%

Short-Term Rental

Yearly income
$18,477
Airbnb data$152/night · 48% occupancy
Rental income
$152/night · 48% occ.
$26,837
Running costs (20%)
Utilities, cleaning, maintenance
-$5,367
Income tax (10%)
Indonesian rental income tax
-$2,684
Property tax
Annual property tax
-$309
Net income
10.5% ROI
$18,477

Long-Term Rental

Yearly income
$16,034
50 comps
Rental income
$2,354/mo
$22,602
Agency fee (10%)
Finder's fee per tenant
-$2,260
Vacancy (~8%)
1.5mo gap per tenancy
-$1,739
Income tax (10%)
Indonesian rental income tax
-$2,260
Property tax
Annual property tax
-$309
Net income
9.1% ROI
$16,034

Short-term rental earns 1.2x more but requires active management.

Growth & Exit Strategy

How your investment grows over time

Leasehold with 27 years remaining.

$865K$649K$433K$216K$0Yr 0Yr 5Yr 10Yr 15Yr 20Yr 25Purchase PriceIlliquid zoneUnsellableToday: $177KPeak Capital Value: Yr 2 ($179K)Paid back2x Return
Leasehold value decline
Resale value of your property as the lease shortens. Drops steeply in the final years.
Rental income
Cumulative net rental earnings collected over time, growing with annual revenue increases.
Total return
Capital value + rental income. Your actual total position if you sold and kept all rent.
Paid back
Year 9: cumulative rental income has repaid the full purchase price.
Illiquid zone
Under 15 years remaining. Hard to sell — banks won't lend, fewer buyers, and steep discounts required.
Unsellable
Under 5 years remaining. Effectively worthless on the open market. No financing, no buyers.
Year 5
Capital Value
$176K
-0%
22 years remaining
Rental Income
+$98K
Total Position
$274K
+55%
9.2%/yr
Year 10
Capital Value
$144K
-19%
17 years remaining
Rental Income
+$212K
Total Position
$356K
+101%
7.3%/yr
Year 15
Capital Value
$88K
-50%
12 years remaining
Rental Income
+$344K
Total Position
$431K
+144%
6.1%/yr
Year 20
Capital Value
$37K
-79%
7 years remaining
Rental Income
+$496K
Total Position
$534K
+202%
5.7%/yr

Location

Bali

Tumbak, Approximate area

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Airbnb Comp Analysis

No nearby Airbnb listings found

Villa Scorecard

Location
Average
Emerging or secondary location
Rental Yield
Strong
10.5% annual return
Occupancy
Average
48% average occupancy
Nightly Rate
Good
$152 per night
Visual Appeal
Strong
8/10 instagrammability
Size & Space
Average
196 m² land area
Zoning
Average
STR zoning not confirmed
Tenure
Strong
27 years remaining on lease

Top Highlights

High rental yield at 10.5% — outperforms most Bali villas
Stunning visuals with 8/10 instagrammability — commands premium nightly rates
27+ year lease — strong tenure runway

Watch Out

Secondary location — rental demand may be lower than premium areas
Occupancy at 48% — factor in seasonal gaps

Consider carefully. Returns are below market average for this price point.

Risks & What-If

What if occupancy changes?

Owner Managed scenario

30% occ.
6.4%
$944/mo
40% occ.
8.6%
$1,267/mo
48% occ.
10.5%
$1,540/mo
current
58% occ.
12.7%
$1,863/mo

Lease Timeline

27 years remaining
Safe Zone

Your lease is in the safe zone. The property is liquid on the resale market and maintains strong valuation.

ℹ️

Financing note: Banks generally do not finance leasehold properties, regardless of the remaining duration. Buyers must purchase with cash or alternative financing.

25+ yr: Safe
15-25yr: Caution
<15yr: Illiquid

Data Sources & Methodology

ROI calculations use verified Brixfox Intelligence rental data from a 12-month trailing window. Opex: 20% owner-managed, 45% fully-managed. Includes 10% Indonesian rental tax (PPh) and annual property tax (PBB). Market factors in Bali may impact actual yields.