Detached house in Vale Milho - Vale Centeanes - Algar seco, Lagoa e Carvoeiro
Detached house in Vale Milho - Vale Centeanes - Algar seco, Lagoa e Carvoeiro — image 2Detached house in Vale Milho - Vale Centeanes - Algar seco, Lagoa e Carvoeiro — image 3Detached house in Vale Milho - Vale Centeanes - Algar seco, Lagoa e Carvoeiro — image 4Detached house in Vale Milho - Vale Centeanes - Algar seco, Lagoa e Carvoeiro — image 5
Grade B+villaluxury

Detached house in Vale Milho - Vale Centeanes - Algar seco, Lagoa e Carvoeiro

Lagoa/Carvoeiro · Central Algarve ·

€3.8M

Asking Price (EUR)

1.6%

True Net Yield (Owner, all-in)

1.1%

True Net Yield (Managed, all-in)

2.4%

True Gross Yield

26%

Occupancy

Projections — conservative (data maturing)

Our Airbnb calendar dataset started 2 months ago and is currently at 17% maturity. Yields shown apply a conservative calibration (realised-ADR factor 0.75, occupancy cap 67%) that auto-fades to full fidelity by April 2027.

Projected Gross Revenue: €102,008/yr
Average Daily Rate: 1089
+36.0% vs area baselineImage quality 9/10 (+6%), Modern/contemporary style (+12%), Has pool (0%), Has view (+10%), Luxury finish (+8%)
Payback Period: 46.4 years
5-yr Capital Value: €5.0M
10-yr Capital Value: €6.1M
Brixfox Score: 66.8 / 100
Comparable Properties: 4
Data Confidence: 60%
Search Radius: 6 km

True Investment Cost

Portuguese transfer tax (IMT) + stamp duty (IS) + notary + registration + legal + renovation + full furnishing & STR launch setup.

€4.2M

+11.7% over asking

Asking price€3.8M
IMT — Property transfer tax (investment schedule)€285,000
IS — Stamp duty (0.8%)€30,400
Notary (escritura)€1,000
Property registry€250
Legal fees (~1.5%)€57,000
Total acquisition costs€373,650
Renovation€0 — move-in ready
Furnishing & STR launch (5bd × €8000 base, luxury tier)
Furniture, appliances, electronics, linens, AL licence setup, launch photography.
€71,000
All-in investment (incl. renovation & furnishing)€4.2M

Gross yield (asking price)

2.7%

True gross yield (all-in)

2.4%

Estimates use Portugal's investment IMT schedule (non-permanent residence). Actual notary & legal vary; budget +€500–1,000 for surveyor, due-diligence and bank-mortgage fees if financing. Renovation cost is a heuristic on property condition × m² — verify with a site visit. Furnishing uses finish-level-tiered rates covering beds, living, kitchen, electronics, AL licence, linens & professional photography. Working capital (2-3 months operating buffer) not included.

Bedrooms: 5
Bathrooms: 5
Building: 430
Land: 4260
Style: modern
Condition: new-build
Year Built: 2026
Energy Certificate: A
Private Pool
View

AL Licence Status Unconfirmed

AL licence status unconfirmed — verify before purchase

Design Features

infinity poollarge glass facadescantilevered upper floorclean lines and minimalist aesthetic

Score Breakdown

ROI
10.09
Visual Appeal
15.6
Ownership Security
13
Location
10.56
Land & Space
12
Rental Demand
2.57
Payback Speed
0
STR Suitability
3

Description

This stunning villa under-construction in Carvoeiro is a rare opportunity to own a luxurious modern home in one of the most sought-after locations. Thoughtfully designed by leading architects and built to the highest standards of quality and energy efficiency, this exceptional residence offers the very best in modern c

Location

📍 37.0978°N, 8.4489°W

· Lagoa/Carvoeiro, Algarve, Portugal

Idealista.pt
Lagoa/Carvoeiro / Central Algarve

Detached house in Vale Milho - Vale Centeanes - Algar seco, Lagoa e Carvoeiro

Inventory
5 Beds
Bathrooms
5 Baths
Built Area
430 m²
Land Plot
4260 m²
Tenure
Freehold
Yield Curve Status

Grade B+ investment — short-term rental yields 1.7% net return annually.

Go to Source via Idealista.pt

The Investment

Brixfox Score67
GradeB+
Brixfox Intelligence
67B+Strong
Score Breakdown
ROI & Yield74%
Capital Growth70%
Risk Profile69%
Market Demand67%

The Brixfox Score is our proprietary AI-powered rating that evaluates rental ROI, capital appreciation potential, risk factors, and local market dynamics to give you a single investment quality metric.

Pro members get full score breakdown with AI recommendations
Average annual ROI over 5 years, combining both rental income and property value growth.
Total
+7.2%
Per Year (5yr avg)
Annualized projected property value change based on historical area appreciation rates (5-year average).
Capital Growth
+5.5%
+$1.0M in 5yr (+28%)
Estimated monthly net income after deducting management fees, operating costs, and taxes.
ROI Nett Rental Income
1.7%
$5,802/mo
Estimated time for the total investment value (equity + accumulated rent) to double.
100% Profit
12 yr
Combined
Number of years to fully recoup the initial purchase price using only net rental income.
Payback
59.3 yr
Rental only

Property details

Year built: 2026
Energy: A
Condition: new-build

Description

This stunning villa under-construction in Carvoeiro is a rare opportunity to own a luxurious modern home in one of the most sought-after locations. Thoughtfully designed by leading architects and built to the highest standards of quality and energy efficiency, this exceptional residence offers the very best in modern c

Income Breakdown

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Nightly Rate (ADR)
$1,578/night
50% ($726)Brixfox estimate($1,578/night)200% ($2904)
Occupancy
26%
10%Brixfox estimate(26%)100%

Short-Term Rental

Yearly income
$69,627
Airbnb data$1,578/night · 26% occupancy
Rental income
$1,578/night · 26% occ.
$147,798
Running costs (20%)
Utilities, cleaning, maintenance
-$29,560
Income tax (10%)
Indonesian rental income tax
-$41,383
Property tax
Annual property tax
-$7,228
Net income
1.7% ROI
$69,627

Long-Term Rental

No long-term rental data available

Not enough comparable rentals in this area

True all-in investment

What the headline asking price actually costs once mandatory taxes, fees, renovation, and furnishing are added. Yields rebased onto this number — closer to what you'll really earn against what you'll really pay.

Asking price$4,130,435
IMT (transfer tax, investment schedule)$309,783
Imposto de Selo (stamp duty)$33,043
Notary & registration$1,359
Legal / due diligence$61,957
Total acquisition costs$406,141
RenovationMove-in ready
Furnishing & STR launch
5bd × $8,696 base + appliances, electronics, outdoor, licence, photography, linens.
$75,000
All-in investment$4,611,576

Gross yield (asking)

3.6%

True gross yield (all-in)

3.2%

Estimates use Portugal's standard transfer tax + typical legal/notary defaults. Verify with local counsel before committing — actual fees vary by deal structure.

Growth & Exit Strategy

How your investment grows over time

Freehold — 4%/yr appreciation in Lagoa/Carvoeiro.

$17.7M$13.3M$8.8M$4.4M$0Yr 0Yr 5Yr 10Yr 15Yr 20Yr 25Yr 302x ReturnToday: $3.8M
Capital appreciation
Property value growing at +4%/yr based on Lagoa/Carvoeiro market trends.
Rental income
Cumulative net rental earnings collected over time, growing with annual revenue increases.
Total return
Capital value + rental income. Your actual total position if you sold and kept all rent.
2x return
Year 14: total gains (capital + rental) have doubled your initial investment.
Year 5
Capital Value
$4.6M
+22%
Rental Income
+$340K
Total Position
$5.0M
+31%
5.5%/yr
Year 10
Capital Value
$5.6M
+48%
Rental Income
+$734K
Total Position
$6.4M
+67%
5.3%/yr
Year 20
Capital Value
$8.3M
+119%
Rental Income
+$1.7M
Total Position
$10.0M
+164%
5.0%/yr
Year 30
Capital Value
$12.3M
+224%
Rental Income
+$3.0M
Total Position
$15.4M
+305%
4.8%/yr

Location

Lagoa/Carvoeiro

Central Algarve, Approximate area

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Villa Scorecard

Location
Average
Emerging or secondary location
Rental Yield
Weak
1.7% annual return
Occupancy
Weak
26% average occupancy
Nightly Rate
Strong
$1452 per night
Visual Appeal
Strong
9/10 instagrammability
Size & Space
Strong
4260 m² land area
Zoning
Average
STR zoning not confirmed
Tenure
Strong
Freehold ownership

Top Highlights

Premium nightly rate of $1452 — positioned in the top tier
Stunning visuals with 9/10 instagrammability — commands premium nightly rates
Generous 4260 m² land — room for expansion or amenities

Watch Out

Secondary location — rental demand may be lower than premium areas
Yield of 1.7% is below the market average — model your cashflow carefully

Consider carefully. Returns are below market average for this price point.

Risks & What-If

What if occupancy changes?

Owner Managed scenario

30% occ.
2.8%
$9,478/mo
40% occ.
3.7%
$12,839/mo
26% occ.
2.3%
$8,020/mo
current
36% occ.
3.3%
$11,380/mo

Data Sources & Methodology

ROI calculations use verified Brixfox Intelligence rental data from a 12-month trailing window. Opex: 20% owner-managed, 45% fully-managed. Includes 10% Indonesian rental tax (PPh) and annual property tax (PBB). Market factors in Portugal may impact actual yields.