ELEGANT MODERN VILLA IN PEACEFUL CEPAKA

ELEGANT MODERN VILLA IN PEACEFUL CEPAKA

Bali, Bali

$244k

Price

6.5%

ROI

3

Bedrooms

61%

Occupancy

3 Bathrooms
Ownership: leasehold
Land: 185 m²
Build: 200 m²
Est. Revenue: $24k/yr
Avg Nightly Rate: $106

Investment Analysis

Located in the serene area of Tumbak Bayuh/Cepaka, this beautiful 3-bedroom villa offers a perfect blend of modern and traditional design. Just a 15-minute drive to the beach and 10 minutes to the vibrant Canggu lifestyle, including trendy cafes, gyms, and more, this villa is ideally situated for those who want both tranquility and convenience.

Propertia
Bali / Cepaka

ELEGANT MODERN VILLA IN PEACEFUL CEPAKA

Inventory
3 Beds
Bathrooms
3 Baths
Built Area
200 m²
Land Plot
185 m²
Tenure
Lease 30yr
Yield Curve Status

Grade D investment — long-term rental yields 7.2% net return annually.

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The Investment

Brixfox Score34
GradeD
Brixfox Intelligence
34DBelow Avg
Score Breakdown
ROI & Yield37%
Capital Growth36%
Risk Profile37%
Market Demand34%

The Brixfox Score is our proprietary AI-powered rating that evaluates rental ROI, capital appreciation potential, risk factors, and local market dynamics to give you a single investment quality metric.

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Average annual ROI over 5 years, combining both rental income and property value growth.
Total
+7.4%
Per Year (5yr avg)
Annualized projected property value change based on historical area appreciation rates (5-year average).
Capital Growth
+0.9%
+$11K in 5yr (+4%)
Estimated monthly net income after deducting management fees, operating costs, and taxes.
ROI Nett Rental Income
6.6%
$1,339/mo
Estimated time for the total investment value (equity + accumulated rent) to double.
100% Profit
17 yr
Combined
Number of years to fully recoup the initial purchase price using only net rental income.
Payback
15.2 yr
Rental only

Income Breakdown

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Nightly Rate (ADR)
$106/night
50% ($53)Brixfox estimate($106/night)200% ($212)
Occupancy
61%
10%Brixfox estimate(61%)100%

Short-Term Rental

Yearly income
$16,062
Airbnb data$106/night · 61% occupancy
Rental income
$106/night · 61% occ.
$23,556
Running costs (20%)
Utilities, cleaning, maintenance
-$4,711
Income tax (10%)
Indonesian rental income tax
-$2,356
Property tax
Annual property tax
-$427
Net income
6.6% ROI
$16,062

Long-Term Rental

Yearly income
$17,570
50 comps
Rental income
$2,593/mo
$24,890
Agency fee (10%)
Finder's fee per tenant
-$2,489
Vacancy (~8%)
1.5mo gap per tenancy
-$1,915
Income tax (10%)
Indonesian rental income tax
-$2,489
Property tax
Annual property tax
-$427
Net income
7.2% ROI
$17,570

Long-term rental earns more with lower risk and less effort.

Growth & Exit Strategy

How your investment grows over time

Leasehold with 30 years remaining.

$879K$659K$439K$220K$0Yr 0Yr 5Yr 10Yr 15Yr 20Yr 25Yr 30Purchase PriceIlliquid zoneUnsellableToday: $244KPeak Capital Value: Yr 5 ($255K)Paid back2x Return
Leasehold value decline
Resale value of your property as the lease shortens. Drops steeply in the final years.
Rental income
Cumulative net rental earnings collected over time, growing with annual revenue increases.
Total return
Capital value + rental income. Your actual total position if you sold and kept all rent.
Paid back
Year 13: cumulative rental income has repaid the full purchase price.
Illiquid zone
Under 15 years remaining. Hard to sell — banks won't lend, fewer buyers, and steep discounts required.
Unsellable
Under 5 years remaining. Effectively worthless on the open market. No financing, no buyers.
Year 5Peak
Capital Value
$255K
+4%
25 years remaining
Rental Income
+$85K
Total Position
$340K
+39%
6.8%/yr
Year 10
Capital Value
$246K
+1%
20 years remaining
Rental Income
+$184K
Total Position
$430K
+76%
5.8%/yr
Year 15
Capital Value
$171K
-30%
15 years remaining
Rental Income
+$299K
Total Position
$470K
+92%
4.5%/yr
Year 20
Capital Value
$88K
-64%
10 years remaining
Rental Income
+$432K
Total Position
$520K
+113%
3.8%/yr

Location

Bali

Cepaka, Approximate area

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Villa Scorecard

Location
Average
Emerging or secondary location
Rental Yield
Good
6.6% annual return
Occupancy
Good
61% average occupancy
Nightly Rate
Average
$106 per night
Visual Appeal
Average
Not yet analyzed
Size & Space
Average
185 m² land area
Zoning
Average
STR zoning not confirmed
Tenure
Strong
30 years remaining on lease

Top Highlights

30+ year lease — strong tenure runway

Watch Out

Secondary location — rental demand may be lower than premium areas
ADR of $106 limits revenue ceiling — consider repositioning potential

Consider carefully. Returns are below market average for this price point.

Risks & What-If

What if occupancy changes?

Owner Managed scenario

41% occ.
4.4%
$888/mo
51% occ.
5.5%
$1,113/mo
61% occ.
6.6%
$1,339/mo
current
71% occ.
7.7%
$1,564/mo

Lease Timeline

30 years remaining
Safe Zone

Your lease is in the safe zone. The property is liquid on the resale market and maintains strong valuation.

ℹ️

Financing note: Banks generally do not finance leasehold properties, regardless of the remaining duration. Buyers must purchase with cash or alternative financing.

25+ yr: Safe
15-25yr: Caution
<15yr: Illiquid

Data Sources & Methodology

ROI calculations use verified Brixfox Intelligence rental data from a 12-month trailing window. Opex: 20% owner-managed, 45% fully-managed. Includes 10% Indonesian rental tax (PPh) and annual property tax (PBB). Market factors in Bali may impact actual yields.