Two Bedroom Off Plan Project Villa nestled in Penarungan

Two Bedroom Off Plan Project Villa nestled in Penarungan

Bali, Bali

$201k

Price

2.7%

ROI

2

Bedrooms

50%

Occupancy

2 Bathrooms
Ownership: freehold
Land: 190
Build: 162
Est. Revenue: $8k/yr
Avg Nightly Rate: $45

Investment Analysis

Located in Mengwi, just minutes from the vibrant town of Ubud, known for its arts, culture, and natural beauty.

Kibarer
Bali / Mengwi

Two Bedroom Off Plan Project Villa nestled in Penarungan

Inventory
2 Beds
Bathrooms
2 Baths
Built Area
162 m²
Land Plot
190 m²
Tenure
Freehold
Yield Curve Status

Grade C+ investment — long-term rental yields 3.6% net return annually.

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The Investment

Brixfox Score50
GradeC+
Brixfox Intelligence
50C+Moderate
Score Breakdown
ROI & Yield55%
Capital Growth53%
Risk Profile53%
Market Demand50%

The Brixfox Score is our proprietary AI-powered rating that evaluates rental ROI, capital appreciation potential, risk factors, and local market dynamics to give you a single investment quality metric.

Pro members get full score breakdown with AI recommendations
Average annual ROI over 5 years, combining both rental income and property value growth.
Total
+7.0%
Per Year (5yr avg)
Annualized projected property value change based on historical area appreciation rates (5-year average).
Capital Growth
+4.3%
+$43K in 5yr (+22%)
Estimated monthly net income after deducting management fees, operating costs, and taxes.
ROI Nett Rental Income
2.6%
$442/mo
Estimated time for the total investment value (equity + accumulated rent) to double.
100% Profit
13 yr
Combined
Number of years to fully recoup the initial purchase price using only net rental income.
Payback
37.8 yr
Rental only

Income Breakdown

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Nightly Rate (ADR)
$45/night
50% ($22)Brixfox estimate($45/night)200% ($89)
Occupancy
50%
10%Brixfox estimate(50%)100%

Short-Term Rental

Yearly income
$5,304
Airbnb data$45/night · 50% occupancy
Rental income
$45/night · 50% occ.
$8,078
Running costs (20%)
Utilities, cleaning, maintenance
-$1,616
Income tax (10%)
Indonesian rental income tax
-$808
Property tax
Annual property tax
-$351
Net income
2.6% ROI
$5,304

Long-Term Rental

Yearly income
$7,228
31 comps
Rental income
$1,092/mo
$10,481
Agency fee (10%)
Finder's fee per tenant
-$1,048
Vacancy (~8%)
1.5mo gap per tenancy
-$806
Income tax (10%)
Indonesian rental income tax
-$1,048
Property tax
Annual property tax
-$351
Net income
3.6% ROI
$7,228

Long-term rental earns more with lower risk and less effort.

Growth & Exit Strategy

How your investment grows over time

Freehold — 4%/yr appreciation in Bali.

$1.0M$779K$519K$260K$0Yr 0Yr 5Yr 10Yr 15Yr 20Yr 25Yr 30Paid back2x ReturnToday: $201K
Capital appreciation
Property value growing at +4%/yr based on Bali market trends.
Rental income
Cumulative net rental earnings collected over time, growing with annual revenue increases.
Total return
Capital value + rental income. Your actual total position if you sold and kept all rent.
Paid back
Year 26: rental income alone has repaid the full purchase price.
2x return
Year 13: total gains (capital + rental) have doubled your initial investment.
Year 5
Capital Value
$244K
+22%
Rental Income
+$28K
Total Position
$272K
+36%
6.3%/yr
Year 10
Capital Value
$297K
+48%
Rental Income
+$61K
Total Position
$358K
+78%
6.0%/yr
Year 20
Capital Value
$440K
+119%
Rental Income
+$143K
Total Position
$582K
+190%
5.5%/yr
Year 30
Capital Value
$651K
+224%
Rental Income
+$252K
Total Position
$903K
+350%
5.1%/yr

Location

Bali

Mengwi, Approximate area

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Villa Scorecard

Location
Average
Emerging or secondary location
Rental Yield
Weak
2.6% annual return
Occupancy
Average
50% average occupancy
Nightly Rate
Weak
$45 per night
Visual Appeal
Strong
8/10 instagrammability
Size & Space
Average
190 m² land area
Zoning
Average
STR zoning not confirmed
Tenure
Strong
Freehold ownership

Top Highlights

Stunning visuals with 8/10 instagrammability — commands premium nightly rates
Freehold ownership — maximum long-term security

Watch Out

Secondary location — rental demand may be lower than premium areas
Yield of 2.6% is below the market average — model your cashflow carefully

Consider carefully. Returns are below market average for this price point.

Risks & What-If

What if occupancy changes?

Owner Managed scenario

30% occ.
1.5%
$255/mo
40% occ.
2.1%
$350/mo
50% occ.
2.6%
$442/mo
current
60% occ.
3.2%
$537/mo

Data Sources & Methodology

ROI calculations use verified Brixfox Intelligence rental data from a 12-month trailing window. Opex: 20% owner-managed, 45% fully-managed. Includes 10% Indonesian rental tax (PPh) and annual property tax (PBB). Market factors in Bali may impact actual yields.